Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.146625 0.173808 0.204295 0.240976 0.283866 0.332381 0.391379
2025-07-13 0.110574 0.146585 0.191346 0.250874 0.327752 0.423462 0.551416
2025-07-20 0.093039 0.134193 0.189445 0.268608 0.378612 0.525488 0.735794
2025-07-27 0.079429 0.122894 0.185094 0.279847 0.419636 0.617182 0.916144
2025-08-03 0.066479 0.109477 0.174584 0.279264 0.441998 0.683607 1.067201
2025-08-10 0.054476 0.095023 0.159691 0.268923 0.447014 0.723504 1.181845
2025-08-17 0.044471 0.081869 0.144475 0.255188 0.443820 0.748966 1.275235
2025-08-24 0.039031 0.075449 0.139144 0.256525 0.464557 0.813645 1.437245
2025-08-31 0.033164 0.067227 0.129383 0.248584 0.468001 0.849348 1.553828
2025-09-07 0.029794 0.063088 0.126246 0.251849 0.491151 0.920481 1.737993
2025-09-14 0.026608 0.058767 0.122095 0.252505 0.509283 0.984127 1.914708
2025-09-21 0.023408 0.053878 0.116116 0.248715 0.518284 1.031606 2.065945
2025-09-28 0.020412 0.049113 0.110081 0.244770 0.528061 1.084531 2.239243
2025-10-05 0.018983 0.047608 0.110671 0.254760 0.567504 1.199669 2.547354
2025-10-12 0.018310 0.047724 0.114754 0.272747 0.625751 1.358308 2.959136
2025-10-19 0.017193 0.046572 0.115815 0.284150 0.671205 1.495548 3.341395
2025-10-26 0.015421 0.043462 0.111879 0.283558 0.690042 1.578955 3.619289
2025-11-02 0.013311 0.039078 0.104220 0.273066 0.684966 1.610264 3.788130
2025-11-09 0.011320 0.034625 0.095676 0.259130 0.669917 1.617671 3.904579
2025-11-16 0.010318 0.032742 0.093383 0.260486 0.691683 1.710305 4.222817
2025-11-23 0.009029 0.029774 0.087765 0.252428 0.689125 1.746243 4.413496
2025-11-30 0.008344 0.028487 0.086504 0.255742 0.715723 1.853788 4.783958
2025-12-07 0.007631 0.026976 0.084385 0.256408 0.735506 1.946819 5.128653